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Thursday, May 28, 2015

BoT changes rules to halt 'speculative' currency trade

Bank of Tanzania
The central bank changed rules on how much foreign currency lenders in Tanzania can hold in a bid to end trading in the shilling it calls ‘speculative’.
 
Commercial banks’ net open position was cut to 5.5 percent from 7.5 percent of liabilities to reduce the amount of foreign currency banks can hold and “limit their activities in the interbank market,” Dr Joseph Masawe, director of economic research and policy, said by phone yesterday.
 
Dr Masawe said another measures taken increase banks statutory reserve requirement from the current 8 percent to 10 percent of total deposits beginning tomorrow.
 
“It’s the speculative tendencies we want to eradicate,” Dr Masawe said. “We will continue to take other measures if it becomes necessary, and depending on the source of pressure.”
 
Dr Massawe said some banks have built a tendency of circulating excess money in the market at times leading to depreceiation of the shilling.The shilling fell 16 percent against the dollar this year, the worst among 24 of the continent’s currencies tracked by Bloomberg after Ghana’s cedi. 
 
To contain the situation the central bank sold USD339m to lenders from January to April, according to a report filed on May 4. Shipments of gold, a key source of foreign exchange, dropped 13 percent to USD1.4bn in the year through March, according to the regulator.
 
“Speculative tendencies started building up in the last two weeks of April,” Dr Masawe said. “With supply-side shocks, it is also contributing to further depreciation.”
 
Foreign-currency reserves fell to USD4bn in March from USD4.2bn the previous, partly due to sale of foreign exchange in the domestic market to manage liquidity, the central bank said on May 19.  The shilling traded unchanged at 2,045 per dollar by 3.17pm in Dar es Salaam after gaining 0.3 percent on Monday. 
 
The Tanzania’s shilling dropped to a record low to lead declines among currencies in East Africa’s biggest economies last week as investors sought dollars amid a rally in the foreign currency.
 
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, which tracks the greenback against 10 major peers, extended its first weekly gain since the period ending April 10. 
A report on May 19 showed US housing starts jumped to a seven-year high, while data on Friday showed that consumer prices rose the most in two years, boosting speculation the Federal Reserve may be able to increase interest rates soon. 
 
Shillings in Kenya, Uganda, and Tanzania joined 16 African currencies slumping against the dollar.
 
“There has been a lot of demand for dollars locally,” Martin Runo, assistant manager of foreign exchange at Nairobi-based Chase Bank (Kenya) Ltd., said by phone Friday. “Globally the dollar strengthened against the euro because of positive data in the U.S.”
 
Then Tanzanian gold exports are down, while Kenya tea production declined even as prices rose, and estimates for Uganda’s coffee crop were lowered, showing key sources of foreign exchange are drying up. 
 
The lack of inflows from abroad comes as companies seek dollars to pay for imports and infrastructure being built in a region where growth is forecast at 6.6 percent in 2015 and 6.8 percent in 2016, according to the International Monetary Fund.
 
Tanzania’s currency fell 1.3 percent to 2,052 per dollar by 5.28pm in Dar es Salaam, an all-time low on a closing basis. That extended its weekly depreciation to 1.9 percent. In Nairobi, Kenya’s shilling was unchanged at 96.80 for a five-day decline of 0.9 percent and its sixth weekly decrease. Uganda’s shilling was unchanged for a fourth day for a drop of 0.1 percent since May 15.
 
“There have not been proper flows coming into the market during the first quarter of this year,” Alex Ngusaru, head of treasury at CRDB Bank Plc, said by phone from the Tanzanian commercial capital, Dar es Salaam. Inflows may pick up as agriculture exports increase and the tourism season starts in the current quarter, he said.
 
The Rwandan franc fell 0.2 percent to 690.50 per dollar, paring its weekly advance to less than 0.1 percent.
 
 Burundi’s currency is unchanged for the week at 1,597.68, after dropping the previous two weeks following violent protests amid President Pierre Nkurunziza’s bid to extend his rule to 15 years. Kenya has the biggest economy in the East African Community, followed by Tanzania, Uganda, Rwanda and Burundi.
SOURCE: THE GUARDIAN

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